What really happened to Elisa Lam at the Cecil Hotel?

Warning: spoilers ahead for Crime Scene: The Vanishing at the Cecil Hotel

Episode 4 of Crime Scene: The Vanishing at the Cecil Hotel. c. Courtesy of Netflix © 2021
(Image credit: Netflix)

Netflix's Crime Scene: The Vanishing at Cecil Hotel tells the story of Elisa Lam, a 21-year-old Canadian college student and promising writer who went missing during her solo stay at the Cecil Hotel in Los Angeles—but what actually happened to her?

Lam made a reservation for three nights in a shared room on Jan. 28, 2013, but she was transferred to a private room after her roommates complained about unusual behavior, including leaving post-its with the words 'Go Away' scribbled on them. She was reported missing by her parents on January 31.

On February 13, 2013, the LAPD released video footage of Elisa to the public. 

Authorities ruled Elisa Lam's death a tragic accident, but some don't agree. Cue web sleuths. A viral video. A crime scene that reveals the dark underbelly of a hotel on the perimeter of downtown LA's 'Skid Row' where 80 people reportedly died and serial killers Richard Ramirez and Jack Unterweger frequently let their hair down. And...wait for it...a conspiracy theory involving a tuberculosis test. 

In what looks suspiciously like The Ring in real life, the grainy elevator footage shows Elisa frantically pressing buttons but the elevator doesn't move. She is then seen hiding in a corner as she waits for the lift doors to close. She keeps peering out from the elevator and appears to be speaking with someone unseen. She can be seen hopping through the doors and making bizarre hand gestures.

Then, she vanished.

2:30pm on January 31, 2013, is the last sighting of Elisa as she is seen leaving the elevator. It is here that some claim to see the edge of another person's shoe.

What is clear to the LAPD is that Elisa never left the hotel. 19 days later, Elisa's naked body is found floating in a water tank on the hotel's roof after guests complained about discoloured water trickling through the taps.

But what exactly happened to Elisa Lam?

Authorities gathered on the roof of the Cecil Hotel on Main Street, in downtown Los Angeles, following the discovery of a body in the hotel's water tank, which authorities believe to be that of missing Canadian tourist Elisa Lam, 21, Feb. 19, 2012. Lam was last seen three weeks ago at the Cecil Hotel. (Photo by Jay L. Clendenin/Los Angeles Times via Getty Images)

(Image credit: Jay L. Clendenin /Getty Images)

What really happened to Elisa Lam at the Cecil Hotel?

Theory #1: Accidental death

Authorities ruled Elisa Lam's death an accident caused by withdrawal from her prescribed medication for her bipolar disorder. Experts tell Netflix that her behavior in the elevator is typical of someone suffering a psychotic break. Others believe this ruling puts to bed the sensationalist theories and should give the Elisa Lam case closure at last.

Theory #2: She committed suicide

Elisa was an avid blogger on Tumblr and some posts point to a struggle with anxiety and depression. In one post in November 2012, Elisa wrote: "Today has been one of those blah days full of apathy. Really dangerous too; I can see myself feeling suicidal and it always scares me when I start feeling suicidal."

However, the coroner didn't support this idea.

Theory #3: Elisa was murdered

This is where things get a bit murky. Plenty of people still believe that Elisa's flailing arms and odd behaviour in the elevator were the actions of a frightened girl who was being followed.

Then there's confusion surrounding the lid of the water tank where she was found.  At first, it is reported that the lid was closed—something that would have been impossible for her to do on her own had she climbed into the tank. 

Wild accusations start to fly, including suspicion falling on Morbid, a metal rocker, who teased a music video called 'Died in Pain' around the same time. It turns out that he did visit the Cecil Hotel—but in 2012, not 2013, and was in Mexico recording an album at the time of Elisa's disappearance. 

The fact that the hotel was split into cheap accommodation for visitors like Elisa, while others were short or long-term accommodation for people who lived in the Skid Row area, raised red flags for other armchair sleuths as this was a vulnerable young girl on her own.

It later transpires that the lid in the water tank had in fact been found open.  The hotel maintenance worker who first discovered Elisa's body told Netflix that he closed it before sounding the alarm. 

Theory #4: It was a copycat murder

Internet sleuths note the similarities between Elisa's death and the 2005 movie Dark Water, where people at an apartment complex complained that the drinking water is dark in color, which leads to the discovery of a girl’s body in a water tank on the roof.

Theory #5: Elisa was involved in a tuberculosis test

Now things get weird—like really weird. Those armchair sleuths also point out that by a strange coincidence there was a tuberculosis outbreak at the same time on Skid Row and that the test circulating was called LAM-ELISA (Lipoarabinomannan (LAM) Enzyme-Linked Immunosorbent Assay (ELISA). 

This has led some conspiracy theorists to hatch the idea that Lam was used as a biological weapon to help take out the homeless population and that she was later killed. This final theory seems highly unlikely given that the autopsy didn't reveal signs of TB.